The near future, many province city are rolled out in succession be helpful for the policy with estate active market, this kind " save city " act makes a person regretful. From last year countrywide estate market was immersed in sluggish to go up October after pattern, continuously up to now already near one year. From eye anteroom real estate market current situation looks, although had been entered alleged " Jin Jiuyin 10 " sell gold (information, prices) period, but the market is handed in cast will still continue to maintain low confuse condition. Be worth what carry is, epicycle estate is adjusted to it why predecessor differs fluctuantly at at, the rigid demand of the market did not erupt tardy. The level sex of estate market is adjusted before, every time in order to marry, erupt suddenly of the rigid demand such as settle and terminative, it is house price continues to go up greatly subsequently, and this adjusts become silent time to be controlled in half an year commonly. It is a standard with this, the market that is as long as a year is small confuse market of estate of already clear declare to walk along the materiality change of situation, because even if is,the firmest demand that buy a room also cannot accept current house price. the Chinese building city that is as long as 10 years to flourishing continuously, such change is worth to rejoice. The backside that long-term violent wind rises estate market value theres is no lack of abnormal element, and already apparent and negative affected macroeconomic development, and the most apparent person restrained the market namely the growth of other spending demand, this kind " one branch alone big " the whole that economic structure goes against industrial structure is optimized. To come true " the person that reside has its house " dream, most public must reduce other consumption spending, so that scrape up capital is dealt with head pay and mortgage a burden. From this, be being pushed ceaselessly tall estate value backside, it is the recessive depression that other industry grows. Accordingly, at present the choice of local government branch to direction of estate market adjusting control, it is the policy orientaton of particular to industry not just absolutely, actually of test is the local government choice between long-term economy growth and short-term profit. A bit need is clear, although pass the market that controls one year to adjust, but house price of home as before apparently exorbitant. With the commonly used house price on international income comparing is measured, at present the ratio of city of domestic a gleam of still is in 10 times above, outclass is abroad the market is average 4-5 the level of times. Below level of such integral house price, far the degree that did not achieve need government sector to move to save city. In fact, between the both sides of supply and demand of estate market, local government is acting as to slant from beginning to end the part at developing business. Look from governmental economics angle, this also not strange, after all no matter be income of gold of land sell one's own things, the wealth tax income that still is a place is direct with estate market link up with. And than other industry, estate pulls the effect that moves economic growth more direct. From this, in the process that rises continuously in house price, we see not hard implicit the governmental figure of amid: Be fond of a city to tear open change and land sell one's own things, development business corner land is infrequent however be punished to wait a moment. Of market of near future estate low fan let concern of this kind of tie become more show change, had begun the basic regulation of screwy market economy even. The person that local government employs finance capital allowance to buy a room directly is ill-considered apparently. Real-estate industry had come true to commercialize, if with estate market low fan employ finance capital for reason, so we should like to ask, export industry is likewise small fan, get into trouble of management whole of medium and small businesses, agriculture did not achieve due policy status from beginning to end, need finance capital give aid to? Finance capital cross the border saves the policy behavior of building city, the interest ligament that can show local government and house property develop an enterprise only was not cut off. Look with the macroscopical economic situation of instantly, the estate policy choice of local government had arrived crucial crossroad. If give aid to and house price returns a body because of finance up, the market bubble that accumulates so for a long time and by demand of low-key market consumption, inevitable meeting increases the risk that macroeconomic runs. After that person to with " protect growth " the policy of the adjusting control central that gives priority to fundamental key, will cause negative effect. OK and clear is, situation existence goes to glide further in instantly countryman economy when the risk, if estate market is not rational prosperity once more, will become restrict economy the hidden trouble of benign development. Local government must want to be between interest of long-term countryman economy and short-term place accrual right now, make more clear accept or reject.
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